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Asif Durrani in his article published in ‘Daily Times’ said that US President Donald Trump would not be able to pressurize Iran by imposing sanctions.
“The US pretext for leaving the nuclear deal known as JCPOA is not convincing and that too when Iran has been in full compliance of the deal,” he said.
He added President Trump’s sanctions against Iran came into effect on November 5 along with waivers to eight countries(China, India, South Korea, Japan, Italy, Greece, Taiwan and Turkey). These waivers, mostly concerned with import of Iranian oil, would be effective for 180 days after which the US administration would review the situation.
“These wavers are not without reason; those are meant to help contain sudden rise in oil prices because of production capacity problems likely to be faced by other oil producing countries,” the analyst said.
He noted European partners of the nuclear deal have reiterated their resolve to continue the business with Iran. EU countries led by France, Germany and the UK have announced to set up a “special purpose vehicle” to facilitate non-US trade with Iran.
Asif Durrani went on to say in the region, however, Russia and China have declared to continue normal trade with Iran. “They have maintained that reimposition of US sanctions would be detrimental to maintaining the sanctity of international agreements,” former ambassador said.
He said while the US has also granted waiver to Turkey, the latter publically snubbed the US by saying that it didn’t believe in sanctions and vowed to continue business with Iran as usual.
The expert said India, which has been a beneficiary of the waiver, apart from purchasing oil from Iran was also granted exemption on the Chabahar Port development project.
He added The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has testified in almost a dozen inspection reports that Iran has not breached any of the provisions of the JCPOA.
“It is becoming obvious that President Trump’s sanctions were meant to create tensions in the region,” the analyst viewed.
Durrani said the US withdrawal from the JCPOA has set a very dangerous precedent in international relations with grave consequences for peace and security in West Asia.
“This would put a big question mark on future multilateral agreements while jeopardizing the sanctity of existing treaties,” he noted.
He warned that the US actions are pushing the countries towards a new cold war with serious implications.
The analyst was of the view that Iran is a good example of political evolution and from the Middle Eastern standards, political developments in Iran are far advanced than many countries of the region whether it is freedom of expression, political association or choice of candidates.
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